The Battle for Moldova. Romania's first major test in the face of Russian interference after the disaster of Călin Georgescu

President Nicușor Dan and Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan have been in Chișinău in recent weeks, where they met with Maia Sandu. On August 27, on Independence Day, we have a European diplomatic mission, similar to the one in Washington, coming to support Volodymyr Zelensky, support now offered to Moldova. Emmanuel Macron, Friedrich Merz, and Donald Tusk will be in front of the Moldovan citizens to assure them that the path to Europe is open. Will it be enough?
The Battle for Moldova. Romania's first major test in the face of Russian interference after the disaster of Călin Georgescu

In a month, the European destiny of Moldova faces the challenge of parliamentary elections. The Kremlin has invested tens of millions of euros to block Chisinau’s breakaway from Moscow. 

Ilan Șor, a billionaire wanted internationally and a refugee in Russia, leads the operations carried out in the neighboring country for buying votes and changing the political regime.

The manual used for the hybrid war is the same one Russia used in Romania, and AUR is a formation heavily involved in Moldova, openly promoting Putin’s interests.

"...a coordinated network of 17 TikTok accounts has been identified, generating over 1 million views in the last seven days to promote parliamentary candidate Vasile Costiuc," states a report by the non-governmental organization Expert Forum, which monitors the electoral campaign in Moldova. 

sock puppet accounts systematically following the same political profiles. This is an example of electoral systems' vulnerability to manipulation through political advertising disguised as social media content. In response, systemic measures need to be taken to increase transparency and generate real countermeasures from social platforms," the document released on August 21 states.

Two friends

Vasile Costiuc is the leader of the Homeland Democracy Party in Moldova, the extension of AUR in this country.

Costiuc declared in September 2024, when the two parties signed a collaboration protocol.

Vasilea Costiuc, AUR, Moldova
RUSSIAN INTERFERENCE. Vasile Costiuc, a marginal political leader from Chisinau, is heavily promoted on TikTok, following the model of Calin Georgescu, a few weeks before the parliamentary elections in Moldova - Source: Facebook/ Vasile Costiuc
George Simion is banned from entering Moldova due to his contacts with Russian intelligence agents, being a declared enemy of Maia Sandu, just like Costiuc, the president of the republic being the politician who has taken the most significant and consistent steps towards Romania and away from Russia.

A 300% increase in the last seven days, compared to the previous week, raises legitimate suspicions about the authenticity of this popularity," as stated in the Expert Forum report.

everything goes viral unpredictably: over 1 million views in just the last week," the document emphasizes.

TikTok Algorithm, a Tool for Manipulation

417 videos in the last seven days, mainly promoting politician Vasile Costiuc and his party," announce representatives of Expert Forum.

we are talking about relatively small accounts, with up to 1,000 followers. It is very easy for these theoretically irrelevant accounts to go unnoticed, but, according to TikTok's criteria, which are unknown to us, these can algorithmically explode with millions of views, quantified according to a completely random formula," the document further states.

TikTok's algorithm can be manipulated both by platform representatives and foreign actors, who can gain access under certain conditions to make posts go viral on small, irrelevant accounts, rapidly reaching millions of people with their message.

The Secret Candidate


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