If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, most Romanians would vote for AUR. However, for the first time since the presidential elections in May 2025, the party led by George Simion falls below the 40% threshold.
Even with this decrease, it remains at a double score compared to the next in line, according to data from a INSCOP Research poll published on Thursday.
- See HERE how voting intentions looked last month
Thus, the top position in voting preferences is held by AUR, with 38%. The party led by George Simion is followed by PSD with 19.5% and PNL with 14.6%.
PSD has increased by almost 2% compared to last month, while PNL decreases slightly, and USR rises by less than 1 percent.
USR would be supported by 12.3% of voters, while UDMR is below the 5% threshold, with 4.8%.
Photo: inscop.ro
"For the first time since the presidential elections in May 2025, AUR falls below the 40% threshold, but remains at a double score compared to the next in line, the Social Democratic Party, which is experiencing slight growth. PNL, USR, and UDMR maintain a constant level compared to previous months. The parties forming the governmental coalition cumulate 51% of the voting intention, while the opposition parties gather around 43%," stated Remus Ștefureac, director of INSCOP Research.
Estimated voter turnout
On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means "definitely not" going to vote and 10 means "definitely yes" going to vote:
- 17.4% of Romanians chose 1
- 1.2% chose 2
- 1% chose 3
- 1.4% chose 4
- 4.4% chose 5
- 1.5% chose 6
- 2.7% chose 7
- 3.8% indicate 8
- 3.3% choose 9
- 60.5% indicate 10
- 2.9% do not know or do not respond to this question.
The data was collected between October 25 and November 2, 2025, through the CATI method (telephone interviews), with a simple, stratified sample volume of 3,000 individuals, representative of significant socio-demographic categories (gender, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania aged 18 and over.
The maximum permissible data error is ± 1.8%, with a confidence level of 95%.