Why AUR will not get 40% in the elections. Why won't it even get 30?

There are many politicians, commentators, and journalists who wave the danger of AUR, claiming that in case of early elections, the party led by George Simion could receive around 40% of the expressed votes and win the election.

Assuming that the statement and fear are true, then another question must be asked: what will change in two years, without elections, so that AUR decreases?

If there is a current belief that it is the largest party in Romania, does any political actor offer guarantees that, in two years, the situation will be different?

Everything happening now is in favor of Simion, and his party's situation, in the context of Sorin Grindeanu's suicidal actions in attempting to destroy Ilie Bolojan, with an isolated and disoriented president at the Cotroceni Palace, will only improve in the near future.

If indeed, at the level of Romanian society, there are responsible people who take on the leadership of the country and are concerned about the current crisis, and if George Simion and the AUR party are major extremist threats, then elections must be organized as soon as possible to save what can still be saved.

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AUR would currently receive around 36%-40% of the expressed votes, according to the latest polls. Therefore, it would not be able to govern alone.

In the new conditions, an alliance of 60% of pro-European formations could be formed, freed from the "free electrons" in Parliament - POT, SOS, and others - who occupy nearly 100 seats, and the situation would clarify, settling into the new reality.

If the above reasoning is correct, then the longer Nicușor Dan waits and postpones calling the citizens to the polls, prolonging the current political crisis and deadlock, AUR will continue to grow, so that in two years it could win over 50% and form the government alone.

Let there be peace in the country

But the above statement is not true for one simple reason - because it starts from a wrong premise, because in fact, all fear of AUR is artificially maintained to prevent a societal reset.

The fear is of the current corrupt political-military-judicial elite, connected to resources, benefiting from huge privileges, represented by unjustifiably high salaries, special pensions, control of public companies, agencies, and institutions. It is haunted by the fear that a major change in society might occur, and the current power structure, relationships, and influence might disappear.

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Romania resembles more a South American state than a European one, with a "controlled" democracy that, in the last decade, amid the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, has been under the umbrella of an alliance between PSD and PNL, against the citizens, effectively halting the social-political transformation of the country, encouraging corruption.

After the departure of Iohannis, who formed and guaranteed the peace of this structure, and especially the one who did everything possible for it to perpetuate, several groups have emerged in Romanian society fighting for survival.

All the confrontation, which began in 2024 and continues to this day, has taken place against the backdrop of a hybrid attack developed by the Kremlin in Romania, which has maximized its influence networks in the country, since the time of the communist regime.

Defending the Constitution

Many forget that AUR is an artificial party, built in intelligence agencies' laboratories, precisely with the purpose of being a "social lightning rod" and a "scarecrow."

After the disappearance of PRM, the nationalist-populist area remained uncovered, representing a vulnerability, a crucible from which anything could arise, so at the state leadership level, the decision was made that it was better to be infiltrated and controlled than left unattended.

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It should be noted that such complex decisions, involving elaborate intelligence work, are made by presidents and then transferred to agencies and institutions with responsibilities in the field, which act for the "defense of the Constitution and the country."

George Simion, Călin Georgescu, AUR, and other forms of legal political organization and action, in gray or opaque areas, are the effect and materialization of these political decisions.

A secret president

In December 2020, almost 6 years ago, I published an article describing the promotion operation of AUR on social networks and calculated the minimum amount of money needed just for the party's Facebook page to achieve the performance and number of followers displayed at that time.

Not only is George Simion a creation of Romanian political laboratories, but due to the fact that many intelligence agencies and structures have been and are penetrated by Russians, they lost George Simion during the period 2010-2012 when he was carrying out various operations in the Republic of Moldova, being taken over by the Kremlin. Since then, he has had at least two masters.

The situation should not surprise anyone. This phenomenon is a rule, not an exception. It happened with Vladimir Plahotniuc, it happened with Sebastian Ghiță, and with many others.

They worked for those who created them for a while, then accumulated money, power, and influence, could no longer be controlled, and found more powerful masters.

All the above claims have been documented in hundreds of press articles, in statements from current and former Romanian officials, as well as foreign experts.

Some of the references used for documentation can be found at the end of this article.

There have been dozens of investigations that have presented the artificial and rapid emergence of a political party, a leader, who, with no prior experience, enters Parliament, leads parties and political movements, becomes a threat or a savior, as needed.

It should never be forgotten that we are the country that annulled the presidential elections because an unknown won the first round of voting.

The day after the results were announced, millions of Romanians who did not have TikTok accounts searched on Google "who is Călin Georgescu" because they had not heard of him.

This happened in the conditions of an election campaign that lasted 30 days.

Călin Georgescu has never led a political party in his life, has never been a member of Parliament, a minister, or a mayor. And yet, overnight, he almost became president.

The candidate who ran away from victory

In a country that has experienced such magic, which led to the emergence of George Simion, Diana Șoșoacă, and Călin Georgescu, can anyone in their right mind still believe in the statement "AUR is dangerous! It will receive 40% if we have early elections..."?

Generally, those who manufactured Simion, Georgescu, and others like them must have the antidote, but probably do not use it as long as, in their view, the rabbits pulled out of the hat still have a utility.

Furthermore, those who still have doubts about the falsity of the theme of "fear of AUR" should remember how George Simion campaigned to become the president of Romania - how a candidate who entered the second round with a lead of nearly 2 million votes did everything in his power, for two weeks, to lose the elections, his biggest fear being not to accidentally end up at the Cotroceni Palace.