The fuel crisis in Russia becomes one of the most visible consequences of the war in Ukraine. In recent months, Kiev has adopted a bold and innovative strategy, systematically attacking Russian refineries with drones.
This offensive, designed not only as a military measure but also as an economic and psychological one, aims to strike at the sensitive points of the Russian economy and force the Kremlin to reevaluate its position in the conflict.
This editorial analyzes this tactic and its immediate effects - from fuel shortages and queues at gas stations, to increasingly visible tensions within the power circles in Moscow.
Ukraine's Strategy in Recent Months
Starting in August and September, Ukraine has launched an offensive strategy based on drone attacks on Russian refineries.
The goal is to cause significant economic and logistical damage by targeting critical objectives in the Russian energy industry.
Objectives of the Ukrainian Government
According to Zelensky's theory and the Ukrainian government, a fuel crisis could force the Kremlin to come to the negotiation table.
Initially, the lack of drones and resources was an obstacle, but currently, Ukraine has strengthened its production capacity and the precision of its attacks.
Economic Impact on Russia
It is estimated that approximately 40% of Russia's oil processing capacity has been compromised. Ukraine employs a repetitive tactic, hitting the same refineries multiple times to hinder reconstruction.
The result: queues at gas stations and the emergence of a black fuel market.
Psychological and Political Consequences
Russia's inability to defend its industrial infrastructure creates tensions within Putin's power circles.
The population, weary of war and fearful of reprisals, becomes increasingly disconnected from the official discourse. Ukraine's strategy also aims at a form of psychological deterrence.
Perspectives and Uncertainties
In the coming months, amid a harsh winter and deepening energy crisis, possible changes in the Kremlin's attitude are anticipated.
If Ukraine's strategy proves effective, it could pave the way for negotiations for a ceasefire. However, it remains to be seen how long Russia will withstand the economic and internal pressure.