Starting mid-October, there will be a period of turbulence both domestically and internationally. In reality, there is an interdependence between the two.
There are two weeks left until the midterm elections in the USA, and Americans will vote for a new composition of the House of Representatives, consisting of 435 members, as well as for a third of the Senate, specifically for 35 out of the 100 seats.
The term for representatives in the USA is two years, while for senators, it is six. Thus, every two years, the entire lower chamber is voted on and a third of the Senate.
The election scheduled for November 3 in America is extremely important, considered a referendum for Donald Trump's second term.
The decline in support for the US president, blamed for economic instability and declining living standards, as well as major failures in foreign policy, indicates that the Democrats are likely to win the majority of seats in the House of Representatives and also have over 50% chance of gaining control of the Senate, according to several opinion polls.
It should be noted that this was the trend in mid-October. The situation can change in two weeks.
A Democratic victory only in the lower chamber of the US Congress would mean the possibility of censoring at least part of Donald Trump's decisions, both in domestic and foreign policy.
Also, in the American democratic system, the House of Representatives has the role of prosecutor in the "impeachment" processes, which concern individuals holding federal positions.
A committee of the House can investigate alleged crimes, hear witnesses, and draw up an indictment, which, following a majority vote, goes to the Senate, which has the role of a full court. That is, an indictment coming from the lower chamber, if voted by two-thirds of the senators, means a guilty verdict and the establishment of the penalty, i.e., the removal of the judged person from the respective position.
Donald Trump, under investigation
A Democratic majority in the House of Representatives means that impeachment proceedings can be initiated against Donald Trump, as well as against other members of his government, against whom there are complaints of breaking the law.
Even though the Senate will not have a political configuration that would lead to removal through impeachment, the investigation itself can bring to light information and evidence that have a significant impact on public opinion and can be used in court proceedings.
Thus, Donald Trump's position becomes vulnerable, and the way he will conduct his last two years of office will be very different from before.
If the Democrats win even a majority plus one seat in the Senate, the situation will become even more difficult for the current president. The Upper Chamber has broad powers regarding international policy and the possibility of censoring decisions made by the executive branch led by Donald Trump.
The major issue is that the new Congress, elected on November 3, will start its activities two months later, on January 3, 2027.
Putin's ally at work
Many American journalists and political commentators expect that, during this time frame, Donald Trump will make decisions that will affect the US political system, following his announcement that "the elections were stolen," as well as decisions favorable to Vladimir Putin, which can affect Ukraine and Europe.
The Kremlin leader will take advantage of Donald Trump's goodwill, already shown, and will do everything possible so that by January he can "destroy" Ukraine or, at the very least, obtain a major strategic advantage: the removal of Zelensky and then his replacement with a Kremlin ally.
The signs have already appeared. Donald Trump lifted sanctions on Russian oil, shut down the Starlink network for a few days, used by Ukrainian drones, and stopped the transfer of information, leaving Ukrainian territory exposed to Russian ballistic missiles.
The next two months can worsen the situation, as Donald Trump is prepared to do everything in his power to offer Putin a way to continue the conflict in Ukraine.
Romania, exiting MAGA
In this context, the next 100 days will be critical for Romania.
With a corrupt PSD government "infected" by MAGA, see the case of Kimberly Guilfoyle, as well as the controversial visit to Romania by Paolo Zampolli, a close associate of Trump, who appears in the Epstein File, with a president lacking vision, trapped in the Trump family's business interests, Romania will remain unstable, fragile, and vulnerable to Russia's attacks, perhaps even weaker than Moldova, which has a pro-European democratic regime supported by a parliamentary majority.
It should be noted here, however, Nicușor Dan's anti-Russian position, who collaborates well with Kiev and tries to withstand Kremlin pressure. But the president is not popular in the country, being held hostage by PSD, which blackmails him with suspension.
A new government installed in Bucharest will not solve a crisis that goes beyond Romania's sphere, but the situation would have been even more difficult in its absence.
At least, in cases of force majeure, emergency measures can be taken, decisions can be made, lives can be saved.
The Black Sea War has intensified. Russia is attacking civilian ships in the territorial waters of Romania and Bulgaria. Moreover, sabotage actions in the Eastern flank states of the NATO alliance are becoming more frequent. With the easing of American pressure on Russia, the Kremlin will intensify operations against Europe to stop military aid to Ukraine.
The next 100 days will be extremely challenging, but if American democracy endures, the European Union will also withstand, and Ukraine does not collapse, Putin will no longer be able to avoid defeat in 2027 or, at the latest, in 2028.